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Naira Stable at N1,540/$1 at Official Market as FX Pressure Persists

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Naira-Yuan Currency Swap Deal

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira closed flat against the Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Thursday, March 13 at N1,540.68/$1, though FX pressure remained.

It was the first time in the last few sessions that the value of the local currency did not depreciate in the official market against the greenback.

However, the domestic currency weakened against the British Pound Sterling at the spot market yesterday by N4.19 to close at N1,990.13/£1 versus the previous day’s N1,985.94/£1.

It was also a similar situation for the Euro at NAFEM, where the Nigerian currency lost N60 Kobo to quote at N1,676.08/€1, in contrast to the preceding session’s value of N1,675.48/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira crumbled against the US Dollar in the black market during the trading day by N5 to sell for N1,590/$1 versus Wednesday’s closing price of N1,590/$1.

Recent interventions have failed to ease pressure on the market with the country’s foreign reserves losing over $2 billion in the last month and projected to lose more as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) sustains US Dollar sales to banks and debt servicing payments.

Meanwhile, in the cryptocurrency market, tokens rose despite persisting US trade war fears which are dampening risk-asset trader appetites.

Market analysts noted that concerns about a President Donald Trump triggered tariff war and a slowing economy in the US, the world’s largest economy, is not offering a clear direction.

The February print of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below median expectations, copying the Consumer Price Index (CPI) results from the day prior.

On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 3.2 percent for the 12 months ended in February, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated.

Ripple (XRP) gained 3.3 per cent to finish at $2.30, Ethereum (ETH) added 1.5 per cent to sell at $1,891.13, Solana (SOL) jumped by 0.9 per cent to $124.71, Binance Coin (BNB) also appreciated by 0.9 per cent to $580.79, and Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 0.8 per cent to $0.1685.

On the flip side, Bitcoin (BTC) crashed by 1.2 per cent to $82,033.71, Cardano (ADA) declined by 0.7 per cent to $0.7154, and Litecoin (LTC) depreciated by 0.3 per cent to $88.95, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigeria Now Self-Sufficient in Cement, Fertilizer—Dangote

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Dangote Obasanjo Dapo Abiodun

By Dipo Olowookere

The president of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, has disclosed that Nigeria was now self-sufficient in cement and fertilizer, with the surplus being exported to earn foreign exchange (FX), which the country desperately needs to boost the Naira and the economy.

He said the target of his company is to make the nation self-sufficient in whatever it consumes, noting that his Lagos-based refinery is currently meeting domestic demand for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol.

After a meeting with the governor of Ogun State, Mr Dapo Abiodun, the industrialist, said he would continue to invest in the country.

Mr Dangote was in Ogun State to finalise plans to build a multi-billion-dollar seaport and two new lines of cement plant with a capacity of 6.0 million metric tons per annum, (Mta) at Itori.

The richest man in Africa said he was attracted to Ogun State because of the investor-friendly climate in the state and the policies of Mr Abiodun.

He recounted how his predecessor, Mr Ibikunle Amosun, frustrated his efforts to invest in Ogun State, saying, “We had earlier abandoned our vision of investing in the Olokola Free Trade Zone (OKFTZ), but because of your policies and investor-friendly environment, I want to say we are back and will work with the state government to return to Olokola, and plans are underway to construct the largest port in the country.”

“Our factory at Itori was pulled down twice. When we started the second time, they not only demolished the factory but also the fence, so we left. But right now, because of His Excellency, our governor, Prince Dapo Abiodun, we are back. When you visit the factory, you will be surprised at what we have done,” he stated.

In his remarks, Mr Abiodun described the day the Dangote Refinery groundbreaking was performed in Lagos as “the day of heartbreak for the sons and daughters of Ogun State as they watched helplessly on television.”

But he thanked Mr Dangote for “coming back to Ogun State” to invest after his earlier bad experience, saying, “We welcome your return to the state” to complete the cement factor at Itori.

The Governor emphasized that with the establishment of the Itori cement plant, proposed to produce six million metric tons of cement per annum, and the existing Ibeshe plant, producing 12 million metric tons, cement production in the state would total 18 million metric tons per annum, making it the largest cement producer in Nigeria and sub-Saharan Africa.

He lauded the company for not shirking its Corporate Social Responsibilities (CSRs) to the host communities, just as it is currently constructing the Inter-change-Papalato-Ilaro road, assuring that his administration is ready to work with the conglomerate for the good of the state and the nation as a whole.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Suspends Sales of Petroleum Products in Naira

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Fifth Crude Cargo Dangote Refinery

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The $20 billion Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Lagos has announced the suspension of the sales of petroleum products in Naira.

This action came after the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited halted its Naira-for-crude oil agreement with the company and other local refiners.

Last month, the state-owned oil agency said it would stop selling crude oil to Dangote Refinery in Naira from the end of this month, claiming its deals was for six months, from October 2024 to March 2025.

This came after the private refinery triggered a price war with the NNPC, crashing the price of premium motor spirit (PMS) to N825 per litre from its depots.

The NNPC operates in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry but the Dangote Refinery only has partners like MRS Oil, Ardova Plc, and Heyden, which sell its products to customers at retail prices.

In a statement signed by its management of Wednesday, Dangote Refinery it temporarily halted the sale of petroleum products in Naira “to avoid a mismatch between our sales proceeds and our crude oil purchase obligations, which are currently denominated in U.S. dollars.”

“To date, our sales of petroleum products in Naira have exceeded the value of Naira-denominated crude we have received.

“As a result, we must temporarily adjust our sales currency to align with our crude procurement currency,” it stated.

“We remain committed to serving the Nigerian market efficiently and sustainably. As soon as we receive an allocation of Naira-denominated crude cargoes from NNPC, we will promptly resume petroleum product sales in Naira,” the statement emphasised.

The company also debunked reports that it stopped loading from its facility “due to an incident of ticketing fraud.”

Dangote Refinery described these reports as “malicious falsehood,” noting that its systems “are robust and we have had no fraud issues.”

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Economy

CBN Survey Foresees Gradual Drop in Nigeria’s Inflation Over Six Months

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inflation-nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

A new survey carried out by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) foresees a gradual drop in Nigeria’s inflation rate over the next six months.

This is contained in its newly released report on inflation expectations for February 2025.

According to the report, businesses and household respondents expect the level of inflation to gradually reduce over the next six months.

The respondents also anticipated lower spending as their expenditure gradually decreased over the next six months.

Further analysis by income distribution indicated that more households earning above N200,000 per month perceived inflation to be moderating.

The survey carried out by the apex bank showed that this is driven by factors such as energy costs, exchange rate, transportation costs, interest rate and insecurity influenced their perception of the inflation rate in the month under review.

The apex bank, however said 65.1 per cent of respondents want a reduction in interest rate by the financial institution.

At the last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), the policymakers had paused the interest rate at 27.50 per cent.

This may be on course as the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March said the inflation rate for February dropped to 23.18 per cent year-on-year in February 2025, reflecting a second consecutive monthly decline from the 24.48 per cent recorded in January.

This figure marks a significant 8.52 percentage point decrease from the 31.70 per cent seen in February 2024, following the adoption of a new CPI rebasing methodology which changed the base year to 2024 compared to 2009.

Also, the CBN in its Business Expectations Survey Report for February 2025, listed high interest rates as recording the highest rate with 75 per cent of the respondents.

Insecurity followed with 73.9 per cent, insufficient power supply recorded 73.8 per cent, and high taxes with 73 per cent.

Respondents identified financial challenges as taking 68.5 per cent, with high bank charges recording 76.6 per cent.

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