From left: Betsy Duke of Wells Fargo, Jack Dorsey of Square, and John Ciulla of Webster Financial.

10 to watch in 2017

Hard as it tries to move on from a phony account-opening scandal that exploded into public view 15 months ago, Wells Fargo just can’t seem to stay out of the headlines.

Over the past several months, the retail banking giant has been hit with a class-action lawsuit alleging that it improperly adjusted the terms of mortgage loans for borrowers who were in bankruptcy, acknowledged charging some 500,000 car-loan customers for auto insurance they did not want or need, and found, after an internal review, an additional 1.4 million accounts opened without customers’ permission, bringing the total to 3.5 million.

Keeping Wells Fargo honest is priority No. 1 for Elizabeth “Betsy” Duke, the bank’s incoming board chair and one of American Banker’s 10 people to watch for 2018. A former banker and Federal Reserve governor, Duke will become of the few female chairs at a large U.S.-based bank and the first-ever at the $1.7 trillion-asset Wells. Few would doubt her credentials, but doubts linger as to whether Duke, who joined Wells’ board in 2015, is independent enough to do what’s needed to help Wells regain the trust of employees and customers.

Other big players to watch in 2018 are fintechs in banking. Among the biggest of the disruptors is Square and Jack Dorsey, its founder and CEO, who stands at the center of the debate over whether fintechs deserve to be granted a bank charter.

Others to watch in 2018 include Terry Turner at Pinnacle Financial in Nashville, John Ciulla at Webster Bank in Waterbury, Conn., and Margaret Keane at Synchrony Financial.

Some are in new roles or replacing legends, others are embracing new strategies or eyeing big deals and at least one is currently out of banking — but could soon resurface. Here are the industry executives to keep an eye on in 2018.
Elizabeth Duke of Wells Fargo

Elizabeth "Betsy" Duke, incoming Chair, Wells Fargo

Elizabeth “Betsy” Duke’s mission as the new chairman of Wells Fargo is clear: Get the embattled bank off watch lists like this for a while.

Whenever Wells seems finally to be flying under the radar, news of a new problem or enforcement action surfaces. Regulators, investors and others will be looking for tangible signs that she and the board — six of whose 15 members as of Jan. 1 will have arrived after the scandal broke — have reshaped corporate governance, blessed an ethical business model and helped make peace with customers and employees.

But is Duke, a former banker, Federal Reserve Board governor and member of Wells Fargo’s board since early 2015, independent enough to do what’s necessary?
Jack Dorsey, chief executive officer and co-founder of Square.
Jack Dorsey, chief executive officer and co-founder of Square Inc., speaks during a Bloomberg Television interview in San Francisco, California, U.S., on Wednesday, Aug. 2, 2017. Dorsey discussed earnings, sources of new growth, and his outlook for the company. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

Jack Dorsey, CEO, Square

Jack Dorsey, the internet wunderkind who is the co-founder and chief executive of both Twitter and Square, is at the center of the debate over whether tech companies should be allowed to become banks.

If Square’s application to charter an industrial loan company is successful — over community banks’ vigorous objections — other challengers from the tech sector could follow.

The fate of the payment processor’s application rests with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which for years has been perceived as being skeptical of allowing new ILCs, but could be more amenable once its new leadership, nominated earlier this month, is in place.
John Ciulla of Webster Financial.
John Ciulla.

John Ciulla, Incoming CEO, Webster Financial

For the first time in its 82-year history, Webster Financial in Waterbury, Conn., is getting a CEO whose surname is not Smith.

John Ciulla, Webster’s president, succeeds longtime CEO James Smith as of Jan. 1. It’s a milestone moment for the $26 billion-asset company, which was founded as the First Federal Savings and Loan of Waterbury in 1935 by Smith’s dad, Harold Webster Smith, who was only 24 at the time. He ran the bank for more than 50 years before his son took over in 1987 and proceeded to grow it from a local thrift to a regional commercial bank.

Ciulla joined Webster in 2004 when it was still largely a thrift, and among his key contributions has been expanding its commercial lending capabilities. As is the case with many smaller regionals facing stiff competition with larger rivals, keeping the momentum going will be his No. 1 challenge.
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Charlie Scharf, CEO, BNY Mellon and Michael O’Grady, Incoming CEO, Northern Trust

Two of the three U.S. custody banks will have new CEOs in 2018 and both men will be facing similar challenges.

Charlie Scharf, who has been CEO at Bank of New York Mellon since July, and Michael O’Grady, who becomes the CEO at Northern Trust as of Jan. 1, are both tasked with determining how to best use technology to increase efficiency.

Scharf was hired in part due to his fintech background, as BNY Mellon aims to continue former CEO Gerald Hassell’s digitization of its operations, including the use of robotic process automation.

Northern Trust was one of the first companies to use IBM’s blockchain, but only to manage private-equity transactions, a low-volume business. Perhaps Northern Trust will be able to find other uses for blockchain technology, like processing hundreds of thousands of transactions.
Matt Zames, president Cerberus Capital Management.
Matt Zames, chief operating officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., stands for a photograph on the eve of the company's annual Investor Day in New York, U.S., on Monday, Feb. 27, 2017. At JPMorgan Chase & Co., a learning machine is parsing financial deals that once kept legal teams busy for thousands of hours. The program, called COIN, for Contract Intelligence, does the mind-numbing job of interpreting commercial-loan agreements. Photographer: Kholood Eid/Bloomberg

Matt Zames, former chief operating officer, JPMorgan Chase

When Zames stepped down this past summer as JPMorgan Chase’s chief operating officer, he said that he wanted to run his own business — either in traditional finance or fintech.

He has yet to re-emerge in the industry, but speculation has been that he will join the growing list of former Jamie Dimon protégés who have become CEOs elsewhere. They include Charlie Scharf, first at Visa and now at BNY Mellon, and Jes Staley, at Barclays.

For now, Zames has taken a role in academia, as an executive in residence at his alma mater, MIT’s Sloan School of Management.
Margaret Keane, president and CEO of Synchrony Financial

Margaret Keane, CEO, Synchrony Financial

Margaret Keane, Synchrony Financial’s CEO, is intent on keeping up with changes in American spending habits, and a recently announced partnership with PayPal’s consumer-lending arm is bound to help.

Consumers use PayPal Credit to finance big-ticket items they purchase online and Synchrony is set to become the exclusive issuer of PayPal Credit for the next 10 years. This gives Synchrony a new way to reach consumers at a time when store-branded credit cards — its main business — are losing appeal, particularly among younger generations.

But the move comes with some risk, as nearly half of PayPal’s $6 billion of outstanding loans are to borrowers with credit scores below 680.

Another reason Keane is worth watching: HSBC is said to looking to acquire a U.S. credit card business and one of its rumored targets is Synchrony.
Dahl-Craig-TCF

Craig Dahl, Chairman and CEO, TCF Financial

Craig Dahl has already made some pivotal decisions since succeeding longtime CEO William Cooper at TCF Financial in Wayzata, Minn., in 2016. (Dahl added the chairman title this past spring, two months after Cooper died.)

Amid rising credit concerns in the auto-lending sector, TCF in May said it would stop selling its auto originations to minimize volatility in fee income, and then in November it said it would exit auto lending altogether.

The big question is about Dahl’s next move: Will he be able to replace a business that was 17% of his loan book and produced lots of noninterest income, or will he put the $23 billion-asset bank on the block?

Terry Turner, Pinnacle Financial Partners

Terry Turner, CEO, Pinnacle Financial Partners

Turner, the CEO of Pinnacle Financial in Nashville, must have a deal in mind for 2018, right?

Pinnacle was fairly big in Tennessee, and then in June it bought BNC Bancorp in High Point, N.C., increasing its asset size by two-thirds. That deal put the now $22 billion-asset Pinnacle on a larger playing field and raised questions about whether it would expand in North Carolina, Virginia (where it has a small presence) or elsewhere in the Southeast.

The company is eyeing “strategic target markets” like Atlanta, Richmond and Virginia Beach for banks that have at least $1 billion of assets, specialize in commercial lending and meet other criteria.

Turner is particularly interested in metropolitan Atlanta, but noted that, with the number of targets there limited, de novo expansion is possible.
Ronald Paul, Eagle Bancorp's chairman, president and CEO.
According to the Federal Reserve, Eagle lent $99 million to entities controlled by then-CEO Ron Paul between 2015 and 2018 without disclosing the loans to the company's board as required by Regulation O.

Ron Paul, Chairman and CEO, Eagle Bancorp

The allegations against Paul and Eagle Bancorp were explosive. An investor group that takes short positions in companies, Aurelius Value, said in a December research note that it had uncovered evidence of a fraudulent loan scheme at the Bethesda, Md., company involving Paul and other directors.

Eagle responded with not one but two statements in which it vehemently denied the allegations and said that the report’s sole purpose was to manipulate and depress Eagle’s stock price, to the benefit of short-sellers.

The question is, will the bank’s response satisfy investors? Eagle’s stock plunged 25% after the Aurelius report surfaced and though it did rebound some in subsequent days, history has shown that it can take weeks or months for a stock to fully recover from such a drastic decline.

There’s a chance, too, that this is not the end of the story. As Sandler O’Neill analyst Casey Whitman put it in a research note to clients, “There are some linkages that raise more questions than answers.”
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